Monday, June 4, 2018

Election 2018: Diane Harkey Polling Ahead (No Miller Effect in CD-49?)

First, the good news.

Retiring Board of Equalization member Diane Harkey is currently the top vote getting in the CD-49 Congressional race to replace Darrell Issa.

Diane Harkey for Congress

The bad news? Three Democrats are vying for second place, which means that we might not see the Miller Effect, i.e. two Republicans making into the Top Two in that seat.

That makes the efforts to keep the seat red a little more difficult. One can only hope that the dismal turnout for Issa hit rock-bottom because voters had soured on him, rather than because the district is trending more liberal by the year.

The San Diego Union-Tribune reports:

A new poll in the tightly-contested 49th Congressional District campaign shows that state tax board member Diane Harkey has taken a breakaway lead with a pack of Democrats in a mathematical tie for second place.

Harkey, R-Dana Point, was backed by 24 percent of likely voters in a San Diego Union-Tribune/10News poll conducted between May 29 and 31, well ahead of the two Democrats who were tied for second at 11 percent.

Harkey, a former Dana Point mayor and Assembly member, was endorsed by the San Diego and Orange County Republican parties as well as the incumbent, Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Vista, who chose not to seek re-election. It’s a notable gain after other previous polls put Harkey in a distant third or beyond.

These endorsements actually mean something, since sometimes county central committees will part ways on certain candidates.

The fact that both committees rejected Rock Chavez, aka Rocky the RINO is very gratifying.

In fact, that's another piece of good news right there. The Chairman of the San Diego GOP, Tony Krvaric, refused to spend any capital backing Rocky Chavez for any election bid, whether seeking re-election to

“We are very pleased with the results, which match our own internal tracking,” said David Gilliard, Harkey's campaign consultant. “We will continue to work hard until the polls close on Tuesday.”

The top two voter getters in the June 5 primary will proceed to a runoff election in November, regardless of party.

But there's more:

It’s a big slide for Chavez, who polled at 16 percent in early April. He has been portrayed as a big spender in the statehouse in an attack ad by national Democrats, who apparently saw him as a candidate they did not want to face in November.

That's the last piece of good news. Rocky has the lowest numbers from different polling for that race. The voters are fed up with that tax-hiking, cap-and-traitor RINO. I forgot to mention that he voted to allow illegal alien children to have access to Medi-cal. That fraud is a corrupt back-stabber and has no business representing anyone anywhere as a Republican.

He's a Hispanic version of John McCain, nothing more.

Let's hope for the best for Diane Harkey, not just going into the primary but for a big win in November!

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