Election 2018: Diane Harkey Polling Ahead (No Miller Effect in CD-49?)

First, the good news.

Retiring Board of Equalization member Diane Harkey is currently the top vote getting in the CD-49 Congressional race to replace Darrell Issa.

Diane Harkey for Congress

The bad news? Three Democrats are vying for second place, which means that we might not see the Miller Effect, i.e. two Republicans making into the Top Two in that seat.

That makes the efforts to keep the seat red a little more difficult. One can only hope that the dismal turnout for Issa hit rock-bottom because voters had soured on him, rather than because the district is trending more liberal by the year.

The San Diego Union-Tribune reports:

Republican Diane Harkey tops latest survey for Issa's seat in Congress,three Democrats vie for second place

A new poll in the tightly-contested 49th Congressional District campaign shows that state tax board member Diane Harkey has taken a breakaway lead with a pack of Democrats in a mathematical tie for second place.

Harkey, R-Dana Point, was backed by 24 percent of likely voters in a San Diego Union-Tribune/10News poll conducted between May 29 and 31, well ahead of the two Democrats who were tied for second at 11 percent.

Harkey, a former Dana Point mayor and Assembly member, was endorsed by the San Diego and Orange County Republican parties as well as the incumbent, Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Vista, who chose not to seek re-election. It’s a notable gain after other previous polls put Harkey in a distant third or beyond.

These endorsements actually mean something, since sometimes county central committees will part ways on certain candidates.

The fact that both committees rejected Rock Chavez, aka Rocky the RINO is very gratifying.

In fact, that's another piece of good news right there. The Chairman of the San Diego GOP, Tony Krvaric, refused to spend any capital backing Rocky Chavez for any election bid, whether seeking re-election to

“We are very pleased with the results, which match our own internal tracking,” said David Gilliard, Harkey's campaign consultant. “We will continue to work hard until the polls close on Tuesday.”

The top two voter getters in the June 5 primary will proceed to a runoff election in November, regardless of party.

But there's more:

It’s a big slide for Chavez, who polled at 16 percent in early April. He has been portrayed as a big spender in the statehouse in an attack ad by national Democrats, who apparently saw him as a candidate they did not want to face in November.

That's the last piece of good news. Rocky has the lowest numbers from different polling for that race. The voters are fed up with that tax-hiking, cap-and-traitor RINO. I forgot to mention that he voted to allow illegal alien children to have access to Medi-cal. That fraud is a corrupt back-stabber and has no business representing anyone anywhere as a Republican.

He's a Hispanic version of John McCain, nothing more.

Let's hope for the best for Diane Harkey, not just going into the primary but for a big win in November!

The Fight for CD-49: Who's Ahead? What To Do Next?

It's not clear to me how things are going to develop in the 49th Congressional district this year.

Since Darrell Issa announced his retirement, six Republicans, five Democrats, and two other candidates have jumped into the race.

Darrell says Good-Bye!

So far, the Democrat who made it into the general election against Darrell Issa is looking strong to return to the general election.

Who is likely to match up against him?

Rocky the RINO.

The San Diego Union Tribune reports:

Applegate, Chávez lead in new poll, and their supporters have verydifferent priorities

In a new poll, Democrat Doug Applegate and Republican Rocky Chávez lead a packed field in the coastal congressional district being vacated by Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Vista.

Thirty-two percent of voters who said President Donald Trump is their biggest issue are backing Applegate, 9 percent are backing Chávez.

The economy and Donald Trump are the two biggest factor weighing on voters' minds, according to the article--but let's keep in mind that the writers and the editors want to skew outcomes as much as possible for a Democrat to win. Why not ask about the Second Amendment? What about foreign policy issues?

The largest naval base along the West Coast is located in the district. Also, there's some overlap with South Orange County, which is still bright red conservative. Issa can attribute his last election victory to South County and the poll watchers who made sure that no one tried to steal the election from him.

Chavez and Applegate are both military men, and they appeal with the demographics in the district, too. This development is really frustrating, however, because Rocky Chavez is another John McCain, a guy who trots out his military service to amaze the voters, but then he turns around and undermines this country.

He voted for the Cap and Betrayal agenda last year, which was forced down our throats because of former minority leader Chad Mayes. He sold us all out for a little bit more power, plus his disturbing affair with the previous minority leader Kristen Olsen. Republicans, taxpayers, men and women who have worked through their lives and played by the rules deserve so much better.

Rocky Chavez is no longer a hit with the Republican base in San Diego County, nor in Orange County. He is going to count on a whole lot of Munger money to churn through the primary to get the general election. The best choice for conservatives is Board of Equalization member Diane Harkey. A true class act from Dana Point, she has the backing of the grassroots as well as the main establishment, including House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy as well as retiring Darrell Issa.

Jeff Schwilk's activist group San Diego Border Defenders are also behind Harkey, since she has strong, principled credentials. Right now, though, she is in third place. Not good.

We need to make sure that she gets into the Top Two and takes down Applegate or another Democrat trying to force their way into this reddish area. Issa is actually more unpopular in the district that President Trump right now, which goes to show that this district does not have to fall into Democratic hands.

But it would be so much better if a real Republican won this seat, as opposed to the cap and trading RINO Rocky.

Recall Rocky the RINO!

Assm. Rocky Chavez is finally being recalled!   His vote last week for the Democrats’ massive tax increase in the Cap & Trade scam bill was the final straw for conservatives and patriots in the 76^th Assembly District (Coastal North SD County).   Let’s Drain the Sacramento Swamp!  

Time to replace Assemblyman Rocky Chavez with a true America First conservative in North San Diego County!  We know of several good potential candidates to take that seat in a recall election.  Where are the other 6 recalls that need to take place in CA for the other 6 RINO traitors?  Anyone?  Remember, silence is consent!

Like and Share the Facebook Page for the Recall:

https://www.facebook.com/RecallRocky/

https://sdrostra.com/brian-brady/assemblyman-rocky-chavez-breaks-promise-taxpayers/

Assemblyman Rocky Chávez Breaks His Promise To Taxpayers

Brian Brady July 17, 2017 Brian Brady 10 Comments

California’s Cap and Trade extension passed today with Republican support:  

“The extension was part of a three-bill package, which passed. One measure aims to improve local air quality, and helped bring some Democrats on board with the cap-and-trade deal. Republicans, however, favored a third bill that may give them more of a say in how to spend the money collected through cap and trade.

“Brown sounded an apocalyptic tone in a rare personal appeal before a Senate committee last week, telling lawmakers that failing to pass the extension would lead to fires, disease and mass migration, not to mention higher costs for food and gasoline.

“Republicans likened the bill to a tax that will hit Californians at the gas pump and the grocery store. The nonpartisan legislative analyst said last year that the existing cap and trade program accounted for an 11-cent-per-gallon increase in gasoline prices. The office has not analyzed the extension proposal.”

Assemblyman Rocky Chávez was an important vote for Governor Brown’s pet project. He explained his support away with a logical fallacy:

“You know, global warming has become a partisan issue,” Chavez said.  As a Republican who believes in science, I don’t have that hurdle to overcome.”

His fallacious explanation however, doesn’t negate the fact that Chávez violated the Taxpayer Promise he signed, in 2012 to get elected to the Assembly.  The Cap and Trade extension imposes an even greater tax on the poorest of Californians at the pump. Thus, Chávez broke the promise by voting to raise taxes.  

He just can’t be trusted to keep his promises.