Election 2018: Diane Harkey Polling Ahead (No Miller Effect in CD-49?)

First, the good news.

Retiring Board of Equalization member Diane Harkey is currently the top vote getting in the CD-49 Congressional race to replace Darrell Issa.

Diane Harkey for Congress

The bad news? Three Democrats are vying for second place, which means that we might not see the Miller Effect, i.e. two Republicans making into the Top Two in that seat.

That makes the efforts to keep the seat red a little more difficult. One can only hope that the dismal turnout for Issa hit rock-bottom because voters had soured on him, rather than because the district is trending more liberal by the year.

The San Diego Union-Tribune reports:

Republican Diane Harkey tops latest survey for Issa's seat in Congress,three Democrats vie for second place

A new poll in the tightly-contested 49th Congressional District campaign shows that state tax board member Diane Harkey has taken a breakaway lead with a pack of Democrats in a mathematical tie for second place.

Harkey, R-Dana Point, was backed by 24 percent of likely voters in a San Diego Union-Tribune/10News poll conducted between May 29 and 31, well ahead of the two Democrats who were tied for second at 11 percent.

Harkey, a former Dana Point mayor and Assembly member, was endorsed by the San Diego and Orange County Republican parties as well as the incumbent, Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Vista, who chose not to seek re-election. It’s a notable gain after other previous polls put Harkey in a distant third or beyond.

These endorsements actually mean something, since sometimes county central committees will part ways on certain candidates.

The fact that both committees rejected Rock Chavez, aka Rocky the RINO is very gratifying.

In fact, that's another piece of good news right there. The Chairman of the San Diego GOP, Tony Krvaric, refused to spend any capital backing Rocky Chavez for any election bid, whether seeking re-election to

“We are very pleased with the results, which match our own internal tracking,” said David Gilliard, Harkey's campaign consultant. “We will continue to work hard until the polls close on Tuesday.”

The top two voter getters in the June 5 primary will proceed to a runoff election in November, regardless of party.

But there's more:

It’s a big slide for Chavez, who polled at 16 percent in early April. He has been portrayed as a big spender in the statehouse in an attack ad by national Democrats, who apparently saw him as a candidate they did not want to face in November.

That's the last piece of good news. Rocky has the lowest numbers from different polling for that race. The voters are fed up with that tax-hiking, cap-and-traitor RINO. I forgot to mention that he voted to allow illegal alien children to have access to Medi-cal. That fraud is a corrupt back-stabber and has no business representing anyone anywhere as a Republican.

He's a Hispanic version of John McCain, nothing more.

Let's hope for the best for Diane Harkey, not just going into the primary but for a big win in November!

Diane Harkey: I'm Running!

Arthur,

Let me introduce myself. I am Diane Harkey and I am running for U.S. Congress because I've seen firsthand the need to reform the way government works, and more importantly the way it thinks.

I'll be frank: taxes are way too high, big government bureaucrats are wasteful, and our economy is crippled by overregulation.

After living California for over thirty-five years and serving as Chairwoman of Board of Equalization, I witnessed in ways large and small how government regulation can hinder or halt the very growth it claims to encourage.
Support Diane >>
I've spent my time on the Board working to ensure that every citizen is treated fairly by the government, which is exactly what I intend to do when elected to U.S. Congress.

Robbing Peter to pay Paul does not "grow" the economy. And dependency on government largess certainly does not "rescue" the poor from poverty.

It just attracts more government waste and prevents self-sufficiency and upward mobility.

I am running because I know that we cannot afford to send another Democrat — who espouses the same failed policies that have so burdened Californians — to Washington to implement those policies on a national level.

As you know, the Republican majority in the House is narrow and the balance of power could come down to who wins this race. We've made serious strides in Washington over the last year, and we can't afford to let them slip through our grasp now.

I am proud to have the support of Congressman Darrell Issa and Congresswoman Mimi Walters, who both know what it takes to get things done in Washington and how critical it is that we hold this seat.

Can I count on your support as we start this battle? Your contribution today will go directly toward laying the groundwork for a successful campaign.

Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $1000
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $500
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $250
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $100
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $50
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for another amount
I am no stranger to tough fights, and am determined to do what it takes to win — but I can't do it alone. I am counting on the support of people like YOU right now.

If you are as determined as I am to stop government overreach and send proven conservative voice to Congress, please make a small contribution of ANY AMOUNT today.

Sincerely,

Diane Harkey

P.S. Arthur, the race for CA-49 is predicted to me the closest in the nation. The national Democrat machine has been funneling money and activists here for over a year — and we have just now started raising money. We have serious ground to catch up on and I am counting on your help. Thanks, Diane.

Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $1000
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $500
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $250
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $100
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for $50
Yes, Diane! You can count on me for another amount

The Fight for CD-49: Who's Ahead? What To Do Next?

It's not clear to me how things are going to develop in the 49th Congressional district this year.

Since Darrell Issa announced his retirement, six Republicans, five Democrats, and two other candidates have jumped into the race.

Darrell says Good-Bye!

So far, the Democrat who made it into the general election against Darrell Issa is looking strong to return to the general election.

Who is likely to match up against him?

Rocky the RINO.

The San Diego Union Tribune reports:

Applegate, Chávez lead in new poll, and their supporters have verydifferent priorities

In a new poll, Democrat Doug Applegate and Republican Rocky Chávez lead a packed field in the coastal congressional district being vacated by Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Vista.

Thirty-two percent of voters who said President Donald Trump is their biggest issue are backing Applegate, 9 percent are backing Chávez.

The economy and Donald Trump are the two biggest factor weighing on voters' minds, according to the article--but let's keep in mind that the writers and the editors want to skew outcomes as much as possible for a Democrat to win. Why not ask about the Second Amendment? What about foreign policy issues?

The largest naval base along the West Coast is located in the district. Also, there's some overlap with South Orange County, which is still bright red conservative. Issa can attribute his last election victory to South County and the poll watchers who made sure that no one tried to steal the election from him.

Chavez and Applegate are both military men, and they appeal with the demographics in the district, too. This development is really frustrating, however, because Rocky Chavez is another John McCain, a guy who trots out his military service to amaze the voters, but then he turns around and undermines this country.

He voted for the Cap and Betrayal agenda last year, which was forced down our throats because of former minority leader Chad Mayes. He sold us all out for a little bit more power, plus his disturbing affair with the previous minority leader Kristen Olsen. Republicans, taxpayers, men and women who have worked through their lives and played by the rules deserve so much better.

Rocky Chavez is no longer a hit with the Republican base in San Diego County, nor in Orange County. He is going to count on a whole lot of Munger money to churn through the primary to get the general election. The best choice for conservatives is Board of Equalization member Diane Harkey. A true class act from Dana Point, she has the backing of the grassroots as well as the main establishment, including House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy as well as retiring Darrell Issa.

Jeff Schwilk's activist group San Diego Border Defenders are also behind Harkey, since she has strong, principled credentials. Right now, though, she is in third place. Not good.

We need to make sure that she gets into the Top Two and takes down Applegate or another Democrat trying to force their way into this reddish area. Issa is actually more unpopular in the district that President Trump right now, which goes to show that this district does not have to fall into Democratic hands.

But it would be so much better if a real Republican won this seat, as opposed to the cap and trading RINO Rocky.

BOE Chairwoman Diane Harkey Announces Formal Bid for Congress

For Immediate Release January 10, 2018 Contact: Dave Gilliard Phone: 916-626-6804

Diane Harkey to Run for Congress in the 49th District with Issa's Support Dana Point, CA - - California's highest ranking Republican elected official Diane Harkey - Chairwoman of the State Board of Equalization - announced that she will run for Congress in the 49th district, currently represented by Congressman Darrell Issa who is retiring. "It has been my honor to represent all of the constituents of the 49th Congressional District for the last three years. I've been their taxpayer advocate in state government and I will be that same strong voice in Washington D.C., said Harkey. "In Congress, I will focus on keeping America safe and our economy strong and growing.  The best possible military is non-negotiable. A thriving economy will not only allow us to have a military that is able to respond to any threat around the world, but also provides access to world class health care and job opportunities that make the 49th Congressional District the very best place to live, work and raise a family." "I strongly support Diane Harkey's candidacy.  I know Diane Harkey to be a dedicated public servant and a tenacious candidate. I look forward to working with her," said Congressman Darrell Issa. As Chairwoman of the State Board of Equalization, Harkey advocates for policies that support job creation in the private sector, improve California's budget outlook, and reduce the burden of complying with government audits and various tax regulations. Harkey graduated Cum Laude with a degree in Economics from the University of California, Irvine and enjoyed a successful 30-year career in corporate finance and banking. Working in good and bad economic climates with individuals, small business owners, and leaders of publicly-traded companies helped form the pragmatic business perspective that she brings to the Board of Equalization. Harkey won her election to the Board of Equalization with over 61% of the vote and is proud to represent 9.5 million constituents in the counties of Orange, Riverside, and San Diego.