The news just gets YUGer and YUGer.
I must confess, one of the reasons I was getting warmer to supporting Trump was that he was polling so well in ... Pennsylvania!
That working class, Rust Belt state is just what the Republican Party needs to start winning wider swaths of voters again.
Republicans care about secure families as well as secure borders. This message should resonate with everyone in the Keystone State. And yet election after election, Pennsylvania falls into Democratic hands. The residents of the Commonwealth need to wake up and recognize that the Democratic Party of the 1980s has sold out to communistic elitist elements.
The Democratic Party of today has lost all respect and caring for working people. They have caved to the globalists and have rejected the hearth and home of local communities.
Donald Trump connects with these voters, these families.
And he should have a good chance of winning more states in the Rust Belt, including Michigan and Wisconsin.
In fact some of the good news that I read today shows Trump now ahead in Ohio by five points!
Five is the cushion that every Republican should hope for, Voter fraud or last minute dust-ups can shake an otherwise solid lead.
Trump is ahead of Hillary Clinton by five points! The US Senate candidate, incumbent Rob Portman, is trouncing former Democratic Governor Ted Strickland by TWENTY points.
This is YUGE! Portman is making Ohio Great Again, and so will Donald Trump.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is already rethinking their strategy and delaying campaign funds to the Buckeye State.
The Buckeye State is the Bulls-eye for Republicans in every election. A Republican Presidential candidate sweeps this and the other Rust Belt states, and he has won the election.
Speaking of sweeping states ...
Trump is now ahead in Sunshiny Florida, another must-win. The latest polls show Trump gaining an nice incremental again. Previous polls have shown Hillary right on the edge, but still winning (only within the margin of error).
Marco Rubio is a strong and welcome voter draw in that state, too, since he is running for re-election. Keep in mind that Trump has barely invested any time in that state, and he is just about overcome the polling gap with the Democratic nominee.
Imagine how Trump will do in Florida once he starts investing major time and resources there!
In Iowa, were US Senator Chuck Grassley is working hard and showing himself very strong, Trump is gaining a stronger advantage. The Republican registration now overlaps the Democratic numbers. The state is staying solidly in the Trump camp.
North Carolina is coming back to Trump, as well. Richard Burr has campaigned on solid issues which should hold at bay disruptive concerns to distract voters from key concerns. The jury is still out on Wisconsin and Michigan. Trump just paid a key visit to Flint, to commiserate and connect with the residents outraged by the long-time Democratic incompetence which has ruined the city's water supply.
Other unique developments ... Maine is starting to tilt toward the Trump column, too? Two states rely on Congressional representation for the Electoral college, which means that candidates who win the majority vote in each Congressional district win one electoral vote, and the candidate who wins the statewide popular vote wins two electoral votes (for the US Senators).
Trump is topping out in ME-2, represented by Bruce Poliquin, and with a plurality victory in the other district, the Donald could score three electoral votes right there!
The map is getting better and better for Trump, while Clinton is watching more swing states swing away from her sphere of influence. Other reports even suggest that Colorado is starting to tilt back to Republican hands
Looking over the latest map on FiveThirtyEight.com, if Trump maintains his leads in those key states, and flips Nevada, he wins the election.
Showing posts with label Tony Strickland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tony Strickland. Show all posts
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
Friday, May 27, 2016
"No Money" Brownley Going Down-ley in CD-26?
Julia Brownley probably must be wondering why she bothered running for Congress in the first place.
She has been one of the top targets for ouster--in California--ever since the 2012 election..
Even in 2016, Republicans in Ventura County are not giving up.
First it was Strickland, assemblyman, state senator, candidate for statewide office, and he also ran for Congress twice.
Then Jeff Gorrell, another assemblyman in the in the region, ran but didn't make it. Critics cited his lack of engagement with key communities. No outreach, and too moderate on some issues, Gorrell should have done well with a more Republican-friendly turnout in 2014.
Despite these failures, the registration suggests, and the layout indicates with some consistency, that a Republican can win that district back. The district has a +4 registration advantage, but for statewide and national elections, the district outscome has swung left and right.
Another Republican can take back Ventura.
So far, with the conflict and confusion at the top of the Democratic ticket, and the growing unpopularity of Hillary Clinton, Rafael Dagnasses, the only Republican--and challenger for the seat-- could upset the Brownley machine.
According to three recent eblasts from her fundraising firm, she isn't raising the campaign funds she expected.
From May 20th:
Wow! She's already full of hate, and on the attack.
How exactly is she fighting for average working Americans?
She's losing ground, and fast. No one wants to donate to going-down Brownley.
She has been one of the top targets for ouster--in California--ever since the 2012 election..
Even in 2016, Republicans in Ventura County are not giving up.
First it was Strickland, assemblyman, state senator, candidate for statewide office, and he also ran for Congress twice.
Then Jeff Gorrell, another assemblyman in the in the region, ran but didn't make it. Critics cited his lack of engagement with key communities. No outreach, and too moderate on some issues, Gorrell should have done well with a more Republican-friendly turnout in 2014.
Despite these failures, the registration suggests, and the layout indicates with some consistency, that a Republican can win that district back. The district has a +4 registration advantage, but for statewide and national elections, the district outscome has swung left and right.
Another Republican can take back Ventura.
So far, with the conflict and confusion at the top of the Democratic ticket, and the growing unpopularity of Hillary Clinton, Rafael Dagnasses, the only Republican--and challenger for the seat-- could upset the Brownley machine.
According to three recent eblasts from her fundraising firm, she isn't raising the campaign funds she expected.
From May 20th:
Let me be clear -- I will never sit quietly while
ultra-conservative Republicans force their conservative agenda on all of
America.
But that’s why Ryan wants me gone. He wants to replace me
with a yes-man who would be one more vote to push through his bigoted agenda.
I’m not going to let that happen. I’m going to continue to
be the strong, Democratic representative Ventura County deserves. If you’re
with me, will you please chip in $5 (or more if you can) today to help me fight
back?
Thanks for standing with me on this,
Julia
She sent out a previous eblast fearing her place, since she claimed to be the #1 Target for Republicans.
Then she sent out this email (May 21, 2016):
Friends, we’ve got some bad news to share.
This week, we had a major fundraising deadline -- and
despite all our appeals, we fell short.
When is the last time anyone in California ever read about a Democratic Congressional candidate--and an incumbent--who was not hauling in the major campaign cash?
We have only 18 days to turn things around before the
California Primary Elections. Our next budget deadline is Sunday at 11:59pm.
And we need to make sure we don’t fall short again.
They didn't make that deadline, either.
Please, Julia is counting on you. Can you rush a donation
immediately so we hit our budget deadline this time?
Look, Julia is the most vulnerable woman in California’s
delegation. And with California voters heading to the polls SO soon, we need
you now more than ever to keep Julia safe.
Now she's the most vulnerable woman in the California delegation. Well.
Julia fights for us every day. And now it’s our turn to
fight for her.
Then came this eblast, with the subjectl line "Start to a very bad week."
If you’re reading this email right now, we need your help.
Last week, we fell short on a PUBLIC fundraising deadline
(trust us, Paul Ryan noticed).
Believe me, Julia--so did we, We noticed very clearly.
Honestly, that put us in a really bad spot. And with the
California primary elections just over 2 weeks away, we’re starting to panic.
If Rafael shows a strong close finish for the primary, Brownley will be in big trouble.
We can get back on track if we hit our budget goal tonight.
But right now, we still have $656 to go.
Look, if we fall short again, it’s going to be the start to
a very bad week.
It’s up to you turn the tide. Are you in?
She sent this email out at 5:11am in the morning. Really stressed, Julia?
Friends,
I’m emailing you so early because this absolutely cannot
wait until later.
Unless we start turning things around TODAY, our Democratic
campaign is going to fall embarrassingly short of our May fundraising goal.
And right after we fell short of our last deadline, another
embarrassment would be too much to bear.
I need your help right now -- chip in what you can:
http://act.juliabrownley.com/donate
Thanks,
Check out this eblast for this evening (May 27th 2016, at 6:11pm to be precise)
Friends, we’re on the brink of failure.
Our May fundraising deadline is only 4 days away, and right
now we need to raise another $5017.
Wait, I though she need $685. Now she needs ten times that amount?!
And after we failed to hit a critical goal earlier this
month, failing again would be an absolute disaster for Julia’s Democratic
campaign.
But here’s the good news: If you donate to our Democratic
campaign before Tuesday, your gift will be MATCHED!
No tricks. No gimmicks.
Will you chip in right now?
ALL GIFTS MATCHED
This is our chance to make a ROARING comeback right before
California’s elections.
And since Julia is the most vulnerable Congresswoman in
California, we can’t afford to fail another time.
So please, chip in what you can and make a difference TODAY.
There's a reason why she's the Number One Target--she's not bringing in the money, probably because she's not demonstrating real service or leadership.
Brownley is going down-ley!
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