Showing posts with label Pennsylvania. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pennsylvania. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Occupy Democrats Jumps the Shark

Chunk Fetterman in the Debate last night
Someone get him a Snickers bar!

Occupy Democrats will say and do anything to help Democrats win in November.

Yes, they lie.

Yes, they cheat.

Yes, they will steal ideas and promote theft in the streets.

But they have gone beyond mere lying, to absolutely beclowning themselves.

Look what they had to share about the Pennsylvania US Senate debate between John Fetterman and Dr. Mehmet Oz:

No. He. Didn't.

John Fetterman could not string together one cohesive sentence.

John Fetterman mispronounced words repeatedly.

A few times, he just straight up paused and said nothing. Those kinds of silent moments are a deadly for a political campaign, especially during a political debate.

He was confronted with a straight up contradiction on his stance on fracking. Four years ago, he opposed fracking. He was on record declaring his opposition to fracking. The two moderators during the debate confronted him about this stance. Then, four years later, Fetterman says that he supports fracking. Confronted with this glaring contradiction, Fetterman straight-up lied and said: "I have always supported fracking."

He is dead man walking at this point. Of course, Occupy Democrats can't tell the difference between someone who is alive or dead, as long as they are Democrats who will do whatever their political handlers tell them to do.

John Fetterman was Joe Biden with a beard.

Monday, August 15, 2022

MoveOn.org Panics About Dr. Oz


 

Wow!

This is quite a telling development! Jack Posobiec has been complaining about Dr. Mehmet Oz' campaign for the United States Senate. He has never liked this candidate, and granted Oz has a number of liberal positions and views in his past.

However, President Donald Trump did not have a conservative record or rhetoric when he launched his presidential campaign, yet in many ways he surpassed many of the "all talk" conservatives

Dear MoveOn member,

We often send you emails, especially in these days of Donald Trump and Mitch McConnell, about all the awful things the GOP is doing and how we need to stop them. All that is true, of course, but this is a different kind of email.

Today, we want to talk about someone we think you should support simply because of his character, his commitment to our values, and how great we think he will be as a United States senator.

His name is John Fetterman, and he's the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania.

John was born in York, Pennsylvania, to teenage parents, one of whom worked nights to put himself through college. After becoming a "Big Brother" as a young adult, he mentored his "Little," who had lost his father to AIDS and was losing his mother to the same. He then joined AmeriCorps and set up computer labs in Pittsburgh for adults trying to finish high school before setting up a program in Braddock, one of the poorest towns in Pennsylvania, to help high school dropouts get their GED.1

Within four years of starting that program, he became mayor, winning a crowded primary by a single vote.

Before we go on, we hope you'll consider donating $3—or whatever you can afford—to his campaign for Senate. We aren't asking you to give it to us, so that we can then give it to him. Instead, we want you to give it to his campaign directly, by clicking this link or either of the links below.

As mayor, and then later as lieutenant governor (yes, he went from mayor of a town with fewer than 2,000 residents to win statewide office!), John fought for LGBTQ+ rights, having officiated at one of the first same-sex marriages in his state. He called out a highway that was going to be built right through his town as "environmental racism," since his town of Braddock is 80% Black, and for years he has led the statewide fight for criminal justice reform. He has pushed for the innocent to be freed, for second chances for nonviolent offenders, and for the simple act of reducing the exorbitant fees associated with applying for parole or a pardon.2

And now as a candidate for U.S. Senate, John has not shied away from the core progressive values he has always fought for. These bullets are directly from his website, so you can see it in his own words:

  • "The minimum wage should be a living wage of at least $15 an hour."
  • "Health care is a fundamental human right."
  • "Climate change is an existential threat."
  • "Black Lives Matter."
  • "The union way of life is sacred."
  • "A woman's right to an abortion is non-negotiable."
  • "LGBTQIA+ communities deserve equal protections under the law."
  • "Get corporate money out of politics. (John refuses contributions from corporate PACs, and he signed the "No Fossil Fuel Money" Pledge.)"3

That's why we are asking you to give directly to his campaign today. Chip in $3—or any size donation will help, as he is refusing corporate PAC money and his opponent is self-funding to the tune of over ten millions dollars so far.4

But just in case the case for John is not strong enough for you, here are a few things you should know about his opponent, Dr. Mehmet Oz.

Yes, that Dr. Oz.

The same Dr. Oz who was a carnival barker on TV (does that sound familiar?) selling miracle cures and bilking vulnerable Americans out of money they desperately needed for real health care. The same Dr. Oz who falsely proclaimed that green coffee extract was a "magic weight loss cure for every body type."5

The same Dr. Oz who was endorsed by Trump and who mentioned him 70 times on his Twitter account leading up to his primary win but who then quickly took Trump's picture down in order to hide that fact from swing voters in the general election.6

So whether you are looking for a real progressive working-class hero who will bring a voice to the Senate we have not seen in a generation, or you simply want to keep a former circus act out of the U.S. Senate who will put Mitch McConnell and the GOP back in power, we hope you will give today.

Thanks for all you do.

–Chris, Emily, Nakia, Kenia, and the rest of the team

Sources:

1. "John's Story," Fetterman, accessed August 13, 2022
https://act.moveon.org/go/165518?t=5&akid=330147%2E54027705%2El54Y55

2. Ibid.

3. "John on the Issues," Fetterman, accessed August 13, 2022
https://act.moveon.org/go/165519?t=7&akid=330147%2E54027705%2El54Y55

4. "A self-funded campaign and sliding poll numbers point to trouble for Dr. Oz in Senate race," Yahoo News, August 8, 2022
https://act.moveon.org/go/165520?t=9&akid=330147%2E54027705%2El54Y55

5. "Dr. Oz Grilled In Congress, Admits Weight Loss Products He Touts Don't Pass 'Scientific Muster,'" HuffPost, July 17, 2014
https://act.moveon.org/go/165521?t=11&akid=330147%2E54027705%2El54Y55

6. "Dr Oz backs away from Trump support after GOP primary win," Yahoo Entertainment, June 22, 2022
https://act.moveon.org/go/165522?t=13&akid=330147%2E54027705%2El54Y55

PAID FOR BY MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION, https://act.moveon.org/go/10999?t=15&akid=330147%2E54027705%2El54Y55. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee. Federal candidates or officeholders mentioned above are not asking for more than $5,000 per calendar year from individuals or other federally permissible sources, nor are they asking for any funds from corporations, labor unions, or any other federally prohibited sources.

Want to support MoveOn's work? Donald Trump and his allies are methodically enacting a plan to place some of Trump's most ardent supporters in key election offices that oversee vote counting, have the power to certify—or decertify—election results, and declare election winners and losers. We've launched a powerful, multimillion-dollar campaign to stop Trump. But we need your help to power our effort.

Will you chip in to power our campaign to defeat Trump and the GOP in 2022?

Click here to chip in $3, or whatever you can afford.


PAID FOR BY MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION, https://pol.moveon.org/. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

This email was sent to Arthur Schaper on August 13, 2022. To change your email address or update your contact info, click here. MoveOn's privacy policy was recently updated. To read our new privacy policy, click here. To remove yourself from this list, click here.


I am more optimistic about this US Senate race!

Friday, May 10, 2019

PA MassResistance: Keep Drag Queen Story Hour Out of Your Local Library

Editor, 
Coming to a library near you: Drag Queen Story Hour? Maybe. 

Imagine a man with a white painted face, black lipstick, and red-dyed hair flowing over a sleeveless dress that reveals tatooed arms and hairy chest. He’s reading a colorfully illustrated children’s book to a room full of kids; not Winnie the Pooh or Dr. Seuss. Rather, the story is one that uses allusion and colorful characters to normalize transgenderism and the homosexual lifestyle.

It’s happening at public libraries across the U.S.part of a well orchestrated LGBT program to indoctrinate children. 

Drag Queen Story Hour has been hosted at libraries in many major U.S. cities. Closer to home, gay men wearing garish women’s dresses and makeup have performed for children at libraries in Reading, Allentown, Lansdale, and Bala Cynwyd.


The fight for the minds and souls of children has ramped up yet another notch. According to LifeSiteNews, drag queen Felicia Bonee is quoted saying, “It’s just a great way to introduce them [your children] to the concept [that] you can be whatever you want to be and you can make your dreams come true.” Time was when such dreams included being an astronaut or President, but LGBT activists wants kids to dream of cross-dressing and same-sex attraction as fun and normal.

It’s more insidious than you think. At a library in Lafayette, Louisiana, drag queen Dylan Pontiff was very pointed in his group’s intentions when he told a library committee, “We are trying to groom the next generation.”

Harmless fun for kids? Drag queen William Dees who read aloud at the Houston Public Library is a convicted child sex offender and a self-described male prostitute, it was later discovered. According to LifeSiteNews, Dees was photographed at a Drag Queen Story Hour carrying a rubber chicken, a symbol used by homosexuals to indicate a sexual preference for young boys. That’s what “grooming” really means. Incredibly, Dees was the second registered child sex offender to perform at the Houston library which previously hosted pedophile Albert Garza, convicted of sexually assaulting an 8-year-old boy.

Those library officials should resign.

In February, the Vancouver, Washington, library hosted drag queen Devin Crosland who in 2017 was filmed performing a pornographic routine simulating sex with a cardboard replica of the Magic School Bus. “The act, recorded and posted on YouTube by the performer, is accompanied by the 1980s pop song ‘I Think We’re Alone Now,’ a celebration of underage fornication,” LifeSiteNews reported.

Was no one vetting these performers, or were library officials more concerned with political correctness than the safety of children?

Folks have to be wondering if this is even legal in public libraries. I am no lawyer, but I believe Drag Queen Story Hour is knowingly harmful to children. A quick review of §5903 of PA Title 18 indicates to me that gay men dressed as women reading stories designed to win future favor for a homosexual lifestyle violates the spirit, if not the letter, of the law.

All this raises the question of who funds our local libraries and do we have a say in what they do? In Luzerne County, libraries are overseen by the Luzerne County Library System which receives state funding and distributes it to its 10 member libraries. A local school property tax also supports libraries. If our taxes support libraries, we have a say in what they do. Our local library is managed by a 16-member Board of Trustees. Call and write them. 
Libraries are a great resource and worthy of our support unless they become venues for a political agenda that undermines faith and morals and the safety of children.
It’s impossible to fight every battle in the culture war, but this is a good place to dig in your heels and get involved 
Ken Skuba
Sugarloaf, PA

Monday, October 1, 2018

PA Governor Subverts Legislatures With Gender Ideology Push (Per Keith Hardine)

In Federalist Paper #10, of 1788, James Madison warned us about the following:

"By a faction, I understand a number of citizens, whether amounting to a majority or minority of the whole, who are united and actuated by some common impulse of passion, or of [self] interest, adverse to the [Natural] rights of other citizens, or to the permanent and aggregate interests of the community.”

Factions are defined as groups that have common interests and try to destroy the Natural Rights and interests of others to get their own way.

Relative to today, a Pennsylvania agency has made an end run around the citizens to impose gender ideology.



Last month, the Pennsylvania Human Relations Commission released new guidance reinterpreting the category of “sex” in state anti-discrimination law to include “sex assigned at birth, sexual orientation, transgender identity, gender transition, and/or gender expression.”

The commission circumvented the state Legislature, which never added categories like sexual orientation and gender identity into law, thereby circumventing voters as well.

But what does this change in policy mean for the average Pennsylvanian?

This new policy could significantly curtail the First Amendment rights of citizens, as a similar policy has already done in Philadelphia.


Thursday, September 6, 2018

Roll Call: The Five States to Watch for Election 2018 (Reflection)


Roll Call is another left-leaning political news rag, based in Washington DC.

The publication graces a number of desks and waiting rooms throughout Washington DC, especially in the House Offices.



For Election 2018, these articles are worth looking over to get a picture of how the press is evaluating the targeted House seats going forward.



With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to win back the majority.



Minnesota

Competitive races: 5

Target Democratic gain for a majority: 1

The Land of 10,000 Lakes is home to five competitive House races, which is remarkable considering there are only eight congressional districts total in Minnesota.

Netting one seat might not sound like a steep climb for Democrats (who are technically part of the state’s Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), but it would be a significant feat considering they are defending three districts that President Donald Trump carried in 2016.

DFL Rep. Collin C. Peterson is likely to win re-election in the 7th District (rated Likely Democratic), but holding the open 1st and 8th districts (left behind by gubernatorial nominee Rep. Tim Walz and retiring Rep. Rick Nolan, respectively) will be more difficult. Both are rated Toss-ups at this stage, but Democrats might be fortunate to lose just one.

If they lose bot, this is YUGE news for us. Republicans are positioned in many ways to do very well in Minnesota. President Trump's MAGA Agenda has been essential to Minnesotans, troubled not just by higher crime and bad trade deals, but the refugee crisis of open borders and illegal immigration.

On their offensive map, Democrats are probably struggling to reach a majority if they can’t defeat Republican Rep. Jason Lewis in the 2nd District (Toss-up). But if they can knock off Lewis and GOP Rep. Erik Paulsen in the 3rd District (Tilts Republican), they’ll probably be able to gain a seat out of the state.

Minnesota bottom line: Democrats probably need to gain at least a seat, while breaking even would be a disappointment.'

Very happy to hear about this. I believe that this will be the year that Minnesota goes from blue state to red state, and for good. The Democratic Party no longer cares about farmers and laborers. The Republican Party does, and Trump has brought that working class bonhomie back!



California

Competitive races: 9

Target Democratic gain for a majority: 5

Unlike Minnesota, it’s virtually all upside for Democrats in the Golden State. There are at least nine legitimately vulnerable GOP districts, while the Republican takeover opportunities have either faded or have yet to develop.

I have to call "BullSh--t" on this one. No matter how pumped up the Democratic Party may feel about the races in this state, the incumbents whom they are targeting are not as week as pundits may think.

Dana Rohrabacher is facing a steep set of challenges, sure. However, local and national political sites have often listed Rohrabacher's seat as a toss-up, but he has continued to win his seat handily without serious problem or incident.

The most likely to flip right now is the 49th District (Tilts Democratic), which opened after GOP Rep. Darrell Issa decided against seeking re-election. Democrats are also optimistic about winning Rep. Ed Royce’s open seat in the 39th District (Toss-up), although Republicans, who are confident about their nominee, have a very different view of the race. Democrats also believe they’re likely to defeat GOP Dana Rohrabacher in the 48th (Toss-up). Losing any of those seats — especially the open seats in districts that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016 — would be a punch in the gut for Democrats.

Gil Cisneros, who is running for CD-39 to replace Ed Royce, is a under an ethical and criminal cloud for sexual misconduct. He is part of the #MeToo madness which has overwhelmed the Democratic Party. Young Kim served as Congressman Ed Royce's district director for 20 years before she ran for state assembly in 2014 and won. She lost her re-election bid, then sought a seat on the Orange County Board of Supervisors. She switched to Royce's seat

But the party also has good takeover opportunities against Reps. Jeff Denham (10th District), Steve Knight (25th District), and Mimi Walters (45th District). The three races are currently rated Tilts Republican, but winning at least one of them is reasonable for Democrats under reasonably good electoral conditions.

Denham is going to be fine. The Democrats have been pushing this line for the last four years. They are not going to dislodge Denham. He is too well-known in the district. Central Valley politicians hold virtually the same positions, whether Democrat or Republican. They form the best relationships with all interested parties in the region, and no one can get rid of them.

Reps. Tom McClintock (4th District), David Valadao (21st District), and Duncan Hunter (50th District) are all vulnerable, albeit for different reasons. Their races are rated Likely Republican. Valadao has been a particularly elusive target for Democrats, and defeating him would be as symbolic of the cycle as it would be important for the majority.

Tom McClintock should not be on this list. Period. This is a total joke.

As for David Valadao, see Jeff Denham, and then add another element: the Democrat running against him is a total left-wing progressive whose San Francisco values simply cannot connect with the Central Valley constituency which Valadao has represented since his days in the state legislature.

Valadao is going to be fine.

Steve Knight? Same thing. His challenger, Katie Hill, is essentially another Los Angeles liberal completely out of place in the Antelope Valley/Simi Valley region. They are way too left-wing for districts where the incumbents are well-know by name and legislative legacy.

California bottom line: Democrats need to gain five seats here, but could theoretically get close to half of the overall gains they need for a majority if they sweep the California races.

Verdict. Only one seat may be lost: CD-49, although very likely that election will not be decided until two weeks after the election. Democrats are not going to net five seats. Not going to happen.



New York
Competitive races: 5

Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2

When it comes to New York, Democrats need a takeover state of mind, but none of the vulnerable Republican seats are easy or guaranteed. If Democrats fail to oust Reps. Claudia Tenney (22nd District) and John J. Faso (19th District), it’s going to be a long night for the party. Both seats are currently Toss-ups, but both incumbents are polling in the low- to mid-40s in most surveys.

Incumbency is almost as long-lasting as reigning monarchy, especially in New York. Faso is a liberal-leaning Republican, anyway

GOP Rep. John Katko consistently turns potentially competitive races into laughers, but Democrats haven’t given up hope in the 24th District this year. Even though former Rep. Michael G. Grimm didn’t win the Republican primary in the 11th District, Democrats still have a credible challenger to Rep. Dan Donovan. And Rep. Chris Collins’ indictment for insider trading opens the door for Democrats in the open 27th District. All are rated as Likely Republican, and wins here would be indicators of a good night for Democrats.

The 27th will stay in Republican hands. A new candidate will ensure a higher turnout, though.

New York bottom line: Democrats have a handful of opportunities and probably need to gain at least two for a majority. If they win more, and races such as the 1st District against Rep. Lee Zeldin truly come into play, Democrats are having a great night.

Zeldin has been very attentive to the concerns of his constituents, and his legislative record has demonstrated enough independence to ensure that he is sold on Trump's issues, even if he is not solidly on the Trump train.



Pennsylvania
Competitive races: 9

Target Democratic gain for a majority: 4

Democrats had a handful of targets in the Keystone State before the new congressional map was put in place. Now, with a combination of new district lines and open seats, Democrats have at least seven takeover opportunities.

Pennsylvania is the state which has given me the greatest pause. The districts were strictly gerrymandered, and even then one of the seats which had been solidly Republican for decades suddenly fell into Democratic hands. Is it possible that Connor Lamb could get ousted when the requisite number of Republican voters finally show up to the polls?

The 5th and 6th districts (Likely Democratic), left open by GOP Reps. Patrick Meehan and Ryan A. Costello, are ripe for the picking for Democrats. Former GOP Rep. Charlie Dent left behind a seat (now the new 7th District), which is vulnerable (Tilts Democratic), probably more so now that the GOP candidate had to spend time fending off a misconduct allegation. And new Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb has an excellent chance of knocking off GOP Rep. Keith Rothfus in the 17th District (Leans Democratic).

Democrats are also excited about their chances in the 1st District (Tilts Republican) against GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and have longer-shot chances against Scott Perry (10th District) and Mike Kelly (16th District), with both races rated Likely Republican.

Democrats are likely to lose the 14th District, which constitutes a majority of the territory where Lamb won his special election. But Lamb lives — and is running — in the newly drawn 17th. So Democrats will have to subtract at least one from any gains elsewhere. Republicans also have a credible challenger against Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright in the 8th District (Leans Democratic), but it’s still too early to know if the congressman is in real trouble.

Pennsylvania bottom line: Democrats have a plethora of opportunities but will take at least one hit to their gains. They probably need to net at least four seats here.

They might get those four seats in Pennsylvania. One can only hope that Trump's victory in Erie County, which has never happened for a Republican, can intimate that Republican turnout will improve across the state on Election Night.



Illinois
Competitive races: 3

Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2

Illinois is on the list because Republicans' last greatest hope, Bruce Rauner, turned into the biggest failure, the most massive disappointment. He betrayed the Republicans and the conservative base he had pledged to work with on one issue after another.

Illinois has become a lost cause, and there is little else to blame besides Rauner.

There aren’t a ton of competitive races in Illinois, but they could be symptomatic of races around the country.

GOP Rep. Peter Roskam hasn’t had a competitive race in years, but he’s vulnerable in his 6th District (Toss-up), in part because of Trump’s unpopularity in the Chicago suburbs. Downstate, Trump carried the 12th District (Tilts Republican) handily by 15 points, but GOP Rep. Mike Bost is vulnerable, in part because Democrats recruited a strong challenger.

Bost is going to be fine. Roskam could be gone.

GOP Rep. Rodney Davis is also vulnerable in the 13th District (Leans Republican) and could suffer from increased college student turnout against the president. But the congressman isn’t in as bad of a shape right now as Roskam and Bost. If Rep. Randy Hultgren ends up in a neck-and-neck race in the 14th District, Democrats are having a solid night. His race is rated Solid Republican for now. Trump carried the 14th District — drawn to elect a Republican after the last census — by nearly 4 points, but the congressman hasn’t had a real race in years.

Congressman will do better than Presidents sometimes. The incumbency of being Congressman helps.

Illinois bottom line: Democrats need to gain two seats here for numerical and symbolic reasons. The party needs the numbers to get back to the majority, but winning in the suburbs is key (6th District), and seeing their top recruits succeed (12th District) would be good for morale as well.

Looking over the three seats analyzed by Roll Call, I think that Democrats are wasting their time on these incumbents. They won't win big in this state.

The article suggests that California has a lot of flip opportunities. I sincerely doubt that. The biggest chances of victory for Democrats will run through Pennsylvania.

Democrats have to win a net 23 house seats. They lost the special election for the Ohio race. They will win at least two seats in Minnesota, and perhaps two in Pennsylvania. That brings the number of seats which Democrats must clip to 27. Despite all the money they are spending in "swing" districts in California, the fact that Hillary Clinton supposedly "won" certain districts in California does not mean that a Democratic contender will knock out a Republican incumbent. The two races operate on different dynamics. Many Democrats were motivated to turn out for Hillary Clinton in California. 



Republicans up and down the state, however, were getting different messages from party leaders at the state and national levels. Trump fired up the base, but much of the political establishment did everything possible to minimize Trump and their connection to him. Some candidates openly defied their identification with Trump, refusing to endorse or even vote for him--and they lost. I also believe that their lack of enthusiasm for the national contender hurt the turnout for lower ballot races.

Saturday, March 17, 2018

PA-18 Special Election: What Happened?

Conor Lamb was not supposed to win the special election in Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District.

The previous incumbent, Tim Murphy, won the seat without a Democratic challenge in 2016, just as US Senator Jeff Sessions had won re-election in 2014 without any Democratic challenger in turn.

Yet last week, another stirring, stunning, and now very disturbing upset exploded on the scene in the Keystone State.

This development should be shocking every policymaker and political wonk in the GOP.

Look at the final numbers:


This was a slim margin, even less than Doug Jones' victory over Judge Roy Moore.

Less than half of a percent, yet Conor Lamb won.

He ran as a Republican, essential, assuring that he will not vote for gun control. He advertised himself as pro-life and anti-Pelosi, too.

Trump won this district by double digits, though.

How can this be happening?!

Now, for some perspective ...

Tim Murphy ran unopposed, and yet of course he received a considerable voter tally:


Murphy won with nearly 300,000 votes, compared to the slightly more anemic special election turnout of 229,008 votes.

Republicans outspent Conor Lamb by an incredible amount. At least $5 million went into this race.

Saccone vs. Lamn

That's a lot of cash for a special election, and still the Republicans could not retain the seat.

Democrats are mobilized and motivated. They really hate the President. Add to this problem the epic number of Republican incumbents not running for re-election, and we are facing a perfect storm going into November 2018.

This is crazy, but this is happening. There is no running away from the fact.

Even with the tariffs, which are supposed to help Rust Belt country, President Trump's two campaigns in the region didn't help.

What happened?

Republicans did not turn out and vote!

Sources have indicated, both by word of mouth and in print, that Rick Saccone did not wrong a strong campaign. Pat Buchanan submitted that Saccone stopped talking about the tax reform bill, since the popularity of this legislation still does not resonate with the growing public. I guess that makes sense, especially if you don't have a job.

Working class Americans are getting back to work, but perhaps the economy is jumping into robust growth fast enough. For now, though, the devastating outcome in Pennsylvania comes down to a lukewarm Republican turnout, coupled with an enraged Democratic base ready to stop President Trump at any cost.

Add to that the fact that Conor Lamb pretty much ran as a Republican and worked a whole lot harder, distancing himself from Alzheimer's Nancy. The biggest factor right is an enthusiasm chasm among Republican voters. Former Presidential candidate Rick Santorum has argued that because Republicans have not fulfilled many of the promises they campaigned on, their numbers are hurting, and the base is uninspired.

A large swath of voters are contented enough with Trump, too. Sadly, success can be quite an impediment to ongoing political victory going forward. Perhaps Trump's talk about granting amnesty to three times the number of illegals beyond DACA has startled some of his most ardent supporters too. It would be a real shame for the country to vote for divided government just because. 

They love what Trump is doing, but find too many of them not only distancing themselves from the President, but actually frustrating his agenda, which is so, so true. If Republicans don't accomplish key policy goals in the next six months, and Democrats maintain their anti-Trump momentum among the hardened, outraged grassroots, Republicans in the House can look forward to minority status post November 2018.



Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Saccone for Congress: The Campaign is NOT Over

Arthur,

We want you to know something right now: This campaign and this fight is NOT over, and we're going to fight this until every vote is securely in and counted.

The Democrats may be claiming victory, but that is complete nonsense. This campaign is far from over.

Rick needs to know if he has your support as we enter this new chapter of the campaign. We are in unchartered waters and your support at this exact moment is critical.

Yes, Rick! You have my support!
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Our campaign was outspent 5:1 in this campaign. The Democrats poured tens of millions into trying to defeat our campaign, not because they actually care about the future of the great people of PA-18 but because they just cared about sending a message to President Trump.

Arthur, this is NOT over, and we need ALL hands on deck right now.

Whatever amount you can afford to chip in, please do so right away.

Thank you so much for your support. We will keep you posted as soon as we have more updates.

Sincerely,
Team Saccone

Yes, Rick! You have my support!
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Monday, February 19, 2018

Media Fail: Democrats Have No Money for Pennsylvania Special Election

Another special Congressional election looms on the horizon, this time in Eastern Pennsylvania. The Keystone State was the key state which helped President Trump win in 2018.

Tim Murphy, the incumbent, had established a commensurate pro-life rating, but was caught cheating on his wife and then induced his mistress to abort the child that he had fathered. Such behavior is unacceptable.

He resigned last year, which was fitting, to say the least. It is worth noting, however, that no one had to pressure him at length to resign, while US Senator Al Franken stalled for months after vividly offensive photos revealed that he had groped a female newscaster, which followed with other women speaking out against him.



Now the PA-18 district is wide open, and Democrats are expanding their strategy to take back the House of Representatives by flipping this district from red to blue. Democrats have already racked up unsettling victories in state and local races all over the country. Their luck in Congressional races has stalled, however.

It very likely may stall again, especially since Democrats have stopped spending money in the race.



National Democrats aren't committing to pour additional resources into a closely watched Pennsylvania special election, even though the latest poll shows the party within striking distance.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) has spent a little over $300,000 to boost Democrat Conor Lamb in Pennsylvania's 18th District. But since then, the House Democrats' campaign arm has remained on the sidelines while Republican groups continue their barrage of attack ads.

$300k is a drop in the bucket, especially compared to the unprecedented amounts of money raised by teh Republican National Committee. Republicans nationally and statewide are bringing in unprecedented amounts of cash, and they are not holding back from spending, desperate to send the message that they deserve another term of holding onto power in both chambers of Congress.

Who is running to replace Murphy, anyway?

Republican groups have spent close to $5 million in an effort to boost state Rep. Rick Saccone (R), who was outraised 2-to-1 by Lamb in the last few months of 2017, in the red district.

Rick Saccone vs. Connor Lamb

 DCCC chairman Ben Ray Lujan (D-N.M.) told reporters that the committee is keeping close tabs on the March 13 race, but argued that Lamb has enough resources to compete against ads from GOP super PACs and the House GOP's campaign arm.

No he doesn't. Republicans are savaging this Democrat hard. Furthermore, Lamb has alienated the left-wing base of the party by signalling his opposition to further gun control. Democrats need to show themselves as centrist enough to bring back working-class voters who abandoned them in 2016, enough that they lost key Rust Belt states which they had dominated for three decades.

"I think the strength of Conor Lamb's campaign has Republicans worried. Otherwise Republicans would not be spending millions and millions of dollars in a race that Donald Trump won by 19 points."

Republicans should be concerned. Rabid Democrats are outraged as ever, and want to do everything they can to slow down President Trump's momentum. The liberal media still has a hold on the mind and opinions of everyday Americans, but even then their propaganda power is not working anymore.

Republicans need to be vigilant as ever to ensure that every available, winnable House seat stays in Republican hands.

Top Democrats have been criticized in the past for a reluctance to spend money in other special elections. While the DCCC focused heavily on boosting Democrat Jon Ossoff in the nationally watched race in Georgia, candidates running in special elections in Kansas and Montana got less financial help.

Those two state special elections were so out of reach for the Democrats, and Montana especially. Pennsylvania is a more meaningful target for Democrats in large part because they need to win Rust Belt state voters to have a chance of getting the White House back in 2020 or 2024.

It's worth repeating, however, that the Democratic National Committee has no money. They are further in debt than they ever have been. They can't generate enthusiasm or command trust, especially since they repeatedly tipped their hand in favor of Hillary Clinton throughout the primary, who was one of the worst candidates they could have promoted. The runner-up in 2016 was a life-long Independent socialist who became a Democrat for the sake of depending on an infrastructure.

He still lost.

For Pennsylvania's 18th district, some strategists believe that Lamb can stand on his own without additional help from national Democrats. Distance from the national party could even prove beneficial, since Republicans are eager to tie him to House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), despite Lamb's commitment to vote against a Pelosi leadership bid if elected.

House Minority Leader is a major liability, representing the most left-wing district in the country. She has access to big money, but her negative pall on Democratic candidates throughout the country is dragging down Congressional chances. In the Jon Ossoff-Karen Handel contest last year, the searing campaign ads repeatedly tied Ossoff to Nancy Pelosi and San Francisco left-wing insanity.

That was pretty much all it took, and $50 million from California Hollywood and Silicon Valley types couldn't change that perception.

"Help from the national party is a double-edged sword," said Mark Nevins, a Democratic strategist in Philadelphia. "It's helpful to have additional resources. But on the other hand, it comes with all of the baggage that national parties carry with them."

YES! Incidentally, Congressional Republicans have a positive marker now, specifically because of the winning results of tax reform, which every Democrat voted against.

Here is the one poll Republicans need to be concerned about, and it's more than the difference between the Republican and the Democratic candidate:

The poll also found that Democrats appear more enthusiastic about the special election, a significant statistic in a race where turnout will likely be critical. Nearly 50 percent of Democratic voters told pollsters they are following the race, while just 26 percent of Republicans felt the same way.

The enthusiasm gap is worrying GOP operatives. Republicans want to see movement on President Trump's agenda, and the US Senate--mostly Democrats, but also pro-Chamber of Commerce Republicans--are stalling these efforts.

Not good--and they still need to repeal Obamacare!

"Saccone has a slight edge, but it's nowhere near the double-digit advantage Republicans typically enjoy in this district. The potential for a Democratic surge like we have seen in other special elections helps Lamb stay in the hunt but it does not close the gap entirely," said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Let's keep in mind that individual Congressional candidates are not President Trump. His candidacy had coattails. His presidency does not. Republican candidates down-ballot need to accept this fact.

Final Reflection

This is a must-win for both sides, and that's why the money is rolling into the district. This district and this state will be a fundamental battleground going into 2020, as well. Democrats must either get working-class voters on their side again, or they better kiss their long-term prospects goodbye.



The point worth noting, however, is that Democrats don't have the money prowess they used to have. The Janus decision later this year out of the Supreme Court--if favorable to individual liberty and worker freedom--will further shut off the money supply which Democrats have relied on for the last twenty years.

For now, it's worth indicating that Democrats are more likely pulling out of the race because they do not have the money. Of course the DNC Propaganda Wing, aka the mainstream media, won't make any point about that, now, will they?!